Thursday, July 14, 2011

NDP promises compensation...

... but answers and replies to citizens who file applications, no promise of that.

For those who aren't affected, there's no reason to try to check out the ever changing links on the government's page http://www.gov.mb.ca/flooding/floodrecovery/index.html

Early on it was a link to a page from the ag department, which I filled out and sent in via fax about a month and a week ago... no response.

A few weeks ago, Greg announced an increase to cottage owners and flood prevention assistance which helps people lift buildings and raise the grade levels. The link that day was to Manitoba Water Stewardship, and the forms were CLEARLY dated 2010, but I filled them out, and sent them in via fax... no response.

Now the forms are again to the ag department, but different than the originals. What should I do? Should I fill out another form? I mean, I did e-mail the folks in charge, asking if they received my application and requesting instructions regarding how to file a claim. The address was right off the site, mailto:floodproofing@gov.mb.ca , but there was no response.

Maybe they are busy? Too busy responding to other people? Maybe I should call? Write a letter? CC my MLA A. Swan?

Do you think they'll care? Honestly, with an election three months away, does anyone believe they would have any interest in any "micro" event... like a single persons attempt to contact the department responsible for delivering the disaster assistance?

I understand that often times a politician delivers a "package" that doesn't exist yet, but where did my fax go? Do I just keep faxing until they get back to me? I think that using up all their thermal fax paper would be far more annoying than filling up their e-mailbox.

We had read somewhere that flood-proofing work had to be "pre approved". Great idea. Stipulate that we need your blessing, but don't get back to us until we're wiped out in a storm. True bureaucracy. "Sorry, you don't qualify. We didn't approve your project... you should have waited for us to contact you."

These are the type of things that breed cynicism.

The FreeP reported on the "fast tracked" diversion, but there's a lot of mis information, (which the FreeP is culpable of repeating), or so it seems. For the geo graphically challenged, Lake Manitoba's outlet is the Fairford River which drains into Lake St. Martin. That lake's outlet is Dauphin River, which drains into Lake Winnipeg. In one article the FreeP says,"News the province is working quickly to ease the pressure on the flooded Lake Manitoba, likely through a mini-floodway from Lake St. Martin to Lake Winnipeg, "
(Bruce Owen)
What I read there is that they will drain Lake St Martin. That's all I read there. I DO understand that Lake Manitoba can thus drain as fast as it currently is... but I DON'T read that it will drain any faster at the Fairford control structure. The Fairford dam is currently WIDE open, and allows (I think) 20,000 cfs out of Lake Manitoba.
This reiterates an article by the same writer on the 12th, where he wrote, "Premier Greg Selinger and his officials have already said they've fast-tracked work on an emergency diversion channel between Lake St. Martin and Lake Winnipeg that under normal circumstances would takes years to plan."

Today, Mia Rabson writes, " Much of the problems relates to the Fairford River control structure, which helps regulate water levels on Lake Manitoba. That structure has contributed to chronic flooding in Lake St. Martin, Dauphin River, Fairford, Lake Manitoba and Little Saskatchewan first nations."

What none of these astute reporters have stitched together yet, is that there is no current plan to do ANYTHING about Fairford.

Here's the numbers from a simpleton (me). There is about 57,000 cfs entering the lake, but let's say it's only 50,000, since April (March maybe?), that's 4 months. We'd expect the crest in a few weeks... but who cares, can we add say, three more months at that flow to even out the highs and lows (if there are any lows) and call it an even 7 months?. We expect freeze up by mid November, so we can hope for normal inflows then, but the Fairford Dam can't be opened up until this new outlet is completed, "Optimistically" slated for January 1. That'd be 2 months of partial flow, meaning less than the 20,000 cfs currently leaving the lake. 50/20 is 2.5 times more in than out over 7 months. Now if we get more out than in for 3 or MAYBE 4 months will we "drain" the lake? I don't think so. The numbers that I can't begin to calculate, (because I fell asleep during the math class where we were taught exponents), simply don't make any possible sense to a simple guy like me. It CAN'T happen, yet people latch onto this belief that the current Government is building an outlet from Lake Manitoba to Lake Winnipeg and will drain the lake.

Unless these folks are reading a different paper...or reading some portions without comprehending the entire article... and perhaps the poorly worded portions like Owen's article on the 12th that read, " ...will move more water more quickly from Lake Manitoba to Lake St. Martin and into Lake Winnipeg."
There will be no more water moving through the Fairford control structure than it can currently handle. The inflows will be equal to, or greater than the outflows for the balance of the year, and you can't drain a bathtub that has a fire hose in it.

This is all smoke and mirrors, designed to keep the "people" believing that "they" will look after you. After about a 20 minute conversation with a fellow cottage owner who believed that we'll be saved I asked him this.

"The people responsible for flood forecasting and controlling the lake that got us into this jack pot... do you REALLY believe their predictions and ideas now to save you? Really?"

People simply don't want to grasp the reality of it all. This water is here for a few years... deal with it, but don't put any faith in the people who kept the lake high last fall, increased the level over the winter, failed to forecast the high water on the Assiniboine( or even mention that river in the spring) and then backpedaled all spring claiming that the Portage Diversion only added a few inches to the lake (Topping), and the if there was no diversion, the storm would have caused comparable damage(Ashton), not to mention Greg's favourite response, " No one could have foreseen a one in 350 year flood" of some other drivel... typical ass covering Bovine Scat.

On the 4th it was reported that shovels could be in the ground digging the new diversion in a few weeks.

I'll wait for a ribbon cutting with a big earth scraper on the 18th... NOT

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